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Charts, Stock Picks, and Technical Analysis from an Online Stock Trading Veteran

September 24, 2006


Stock Picks for 092406

Filed under: Stock Picks — Online Stock Trading @ 10:37 pm

I’m going to give this new category, “Stock Picks” a go. I’ll be placing my thoughts here on stocks, ETF’s, and whatever else strikes my fancy. I’ll approach the stock market for the next day’s trading with an open mind. It helps to have a few on your list that might form the patterns looked for when trading. So, here it goes.

MZZ is looking interesting nearing it’s downtrend line. Looks like it will break out on the 4th try. There is clear support for the ETF at the 70 dollar area.

mzz-092406.jpg

PENN, Penn National Gaming, Inc., a stock pick that has been holding up through the slip in the Nasdaq. Watch for an entry here on a pullback, or break higher after a pause. Don’t get fooled into short selling this stock just because it looks extended. It’s strong for a reason.

penn-092406.jpg

SNDK, Sandisk,  is similar to the stock pick MZZ above. It’s a short though. While MZZ is preparing to make it’s 4th attempt through resistance, SNDK has completed it. Watch for minor support near 54. It doesn’t look as if there are many traders or investors waiting to buy stock below that. Remember, wait for a trading setup.

sndk-092406.jpg

Stay unbiased going into each trading day. Use your stock picks as a rough guide, but let the stock market fill in the map for you as trading progresses.

September 21, 2006


Stock Pattern Trading in TEVA

Filed under: Online Stock Trading — Online Stock Trading @ 11:04 am

I’m done trading for the morning, and thought I’d show how I used multiple time frames to trade one stock in the early session. This securitiy came off of the morning gap list. TEVA, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. gapped down .46 from yesterday’s close.

teva-daily-092106.jpg

Notice how the stock gapped below the 50 day moving average, after a long period from August to September of going nowhere. There’s going to be some bulls who want out. Another aspect that I liked was the wide, open area below. I noticed TEVA about 20 minutes after the open, and sold short into the fifth bar down. This was a late entry, so I decided to scalp by setting a trailing stop using the previous bar’s high.

teva-5-minute-092106.jpg

A target of 2R was set for 1/2 the shares. I chickened out though on the 6th bar covering early for a .5 R gain. More scanning was done, but I kept my eye on TEVA for another stock pattern to set up. Within a half hour, a BS2 formed on the smallest candlestick you see at the 7:30 hour (West Coast) by a penny. I didn’t pounce on it, because the stock had already fallen hard. This set up a nice FBS2. R = .10. I was filled on about 75% of my shares as the stock popped a little, and I was using a limit order. The first 1/2 had a target of 1.5 R, and the rest would be sold at 3R. The first target hit, but the 2nd half of the shares were sold as indicated on the chart. I used the trailing previous bar low as a stop when the stock was up 5 bars straight. When you can find opportunities where R is small in terms of point value risked, you can make some nice profits. This trade was against the trend, and I pushed it as it was. Here’s something interesting though. Look at the 15-minute time frame of Teva Pharmaceutical.

teva-15-minute-092106.jpg

There is a very fluid BS2 stock pattern playing out. The 20-day and 50-day moving averages have an even space between them and are falling. I was focusing on shorter time frames this morning. If I chose to open the picture a little wider, the 15 minute chart could have been used. I chose to scalp, as the market has been very whippy and I’ve not tightened stops soon enough lately.

It really is an advantage using more than a few time periods to evaluate each stock trading pattern. We’ll see if the afternoon brings any juicy chart patterns my way.

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