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Charts, Stock Picks, and Technical Analysis from an Online Stock Trading Veteran

October 25, 2006

Valero Energy Corp - VLO Quick Trade

Filed under: Online Stock Trading — Online Stock Trading @ 7:48 pm

I had a restful break from trading the last few days, and climbed back into my turret for the action today. Valero Energy Corp - VLO was my first target. As the bulltrader points out, energy ETFs have not been kind to the energy investor for the last few months. That’s why it’s advantageous being a trader. I like to track the OIH. I’ve mentioned a few other oil sector stocks on my watch list including CLB, MRO, SWN, COG, ECA and VLO.

Valero set up a bull flag on the daily chart that I spotted last night. One economic number I do pay attention to is the Oil reserves number which usually comes out an hour after the stock market begins trading. This is around mid-morning each Wednesday. It moves these oil service sector stocks every time, so it’s one to be aware of.

online-day-trading-vlo-102506.jpg

VLO was slowly trading in a choppy pattern for the first hour. I like to take the high over the 30-minute high if a stock is showing momentum. When the oil inventory number hit, I noticed the OIH start shooting up. My Valero alarm triggered, and I executed a buy at 52.99. I’ll run a tight stop loss on a trade like this. The purpose of it is to break out. If it stalls, something is wrong. Get out. I’ll mentally set a stop, and monitor the stock. In the case of VLO, it acted as I wanted.

vlo-102506.jpg

The plan was for a quick profit. Setting trailing bar stops works well for this. You can see on the chart where the stock was stopped using this method. A partial sell could have been planned, but with a fed meeting later in the day, I chose to sell the whole lot.

2 Responses to “Valero Energy Corp - VLO Quick Trade”

  1. goldguru Says:

    Nice call and analysis. I have been looking to get back into an oil ETF, as I think oil will continue upwards and make new highs after the midterm elections are over. I’ve linked to your site at GoldStockBull. Cheers.

  2. Online Stock Trading Says:

    Thanks Goldguru. I appreciate that. I’ve never been too good at forecasting trends longer than a few weeks. The OIH has now pulled back with it’s 5th lower high on the monthly chart after a run up of 2 1/2 years. Really not a bad pullback after such a move. It sure wouldn’t surprise me to see another run if some new higher highs can be put in there.

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