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Charts, Stock Picks, and Technical Analysis from an Online Stock Trading Veteran

February 12, 2008


Still Sitting In The Bull Zone

Filed under: Online Stock Trading — Online Stock Trading @ 10:51 pm

The three major indexes ended the day on their 20 day moving averages. The sentiment out their is either bearish or neutral from what I’ve seen. Maybe we’ll climb that Wall of Worry here. It’s definitely a market without direction. The Dow Industials closed +133, and the Nasdaq in the red. Odd.

We’ve got higher pivot lows, and until those are broken, I’m keeping a bullish bias. Today’s end of day decline does not surprise me during an options expiration week. Like I said yesterday.. they don’t ring a bell at the bottom.

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The gold stocks hit the upper trendline of the XAU. When trading takes out either trendline, I want to be on that train.

xau-021208.jpg

February 11, 2008


They Don’t Ring A Bell At The Bottom

Filed under: Online Stock Trading — Online Stock Trading @ 10:45 pm

Oil stocks continued higher today after pulling back in early morning trade. The pullback set up a classic trading pattern. Entry came after the eighth bar of the dip. The higher high became the buy point.

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Semiconductor stocks rallied too. USD put on a good show.

I saw someone mention today, “they don’t ring a bell at the bottom…” That’s true. You never exactly know when a bottom is in until much later. Take these financial stocks… One of these days, they are going to rally when bad news hits the sector. Actually, they don’t even need news to rally at this point.

UYG had a high volume day today, and GS traded in a narrow range inside the previous day’s candlestick. Instinct is telling me that the close near the low is a fakeout. I’ll be watching for a long entry tomorrow. A higher high on the daily chart would be most conservative. I doubt I wait for that. Especially if stocks in the sector gap higher. It’s options expiration week, and anything can happen.

A gap lower that takes out the five minute high, later in the day, will get my attention too.

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UWM needs to pick it up tomorrow.  It’s still in buy mode.

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